Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.181055 0.213644 0.249972 0.293406 0.343861 0.400558 0.469037
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.132837 0.175785 0.228901 0.299143 0.389283 0.500741 0.648646
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.101166 0.146774 0.208048 0.295775 0.417437 0.579369 0.810242
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.083619 0.130984 0.199132 0.303281 0.457126 0.674416 1.002527
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.068657 0.115145 0.186217 0.301247 0.480779 0.747720 1.171211
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.056339 0.100593 0.172106 0.294029 0.493989 0.805290 1.321339
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046556 0.088126 0.158849 0.285352 0.502472 0.854948 1.463006
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.041232 0.082268 0.155381 0.291885 0.535812 0.946724 1.680850
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.036482 0.076528 0.151067 0.295965 0.564867 1.033746 1.899128
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032136 0.070740 0.145668 0.297041 0.588220 1.112758 2.110959
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028794 0.066343 0.142166 0.300992 0.616933 1.203614 2.352241
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026575 0.063898 0.142092 0.311469 0.658995 1.322576 2.656013
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022912 0.057724 0.133643 0.304196 0.666050 1.378056 2.849332
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020534 0.054062 0.129999 0.306508 0.692871 1.474603 3.132270
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018001 0.049547 0.123755 0.302230 0.705231 1.543499 3.367089
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016576 0.047513 0.122840 0.309691 0.743601 1.668883 3.728423
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.014752 0.044089 0.118096 0.307570 0.760328 1.750502 4.006245
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.012890 0.040189 0.111563 0.300199 0.764046 1.804374 4.229776
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011209 0.036454 0.104839 0.291349 0.763080 1.847596 4.433847
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.010414 0.035147 0.104262 0.298010 0.800218 1.979849 4.848506
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.009594 0.033604 0.102810 0.302171 0.831623 2.101866 5.250938
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.008747 0.031800 0.100347 0.303267 0.855371 2.208133 5.626439
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.008084 0.030464 0.099017 0.307296 0.887169 2.336597 6.065924